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Post by bulkey on Mar 31, 2021 14:01:38 GMT -5
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Post by samanthabrown3 on Mar 31, 2021 14:14:40 GMT -5
Five Thirty Eight give us a 43% chance, with Stanford at 38%. After the way Stanford played yesterday, I was surprised.
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Post by bulkey on Mar 31, 2021 14:31:36 GMT -5
Five Thirty Eight give us a 43% chance, with Stanford at 38%. After the way Stanford played yesterday, I was surprised. which way? |
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Post by bulkey on Mar 31, 2021 14:33:20 GMT -5
The other thing is that Stanford has a harder game Friday, so its mathematical probability of winning a title are less.
If UConn and Stanford both win Friday night, the odds might flip.
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Post by doggydaddy on Mar 31, 2021 14:41:06 GMT -5
I love you guys so I'm sharing this new bit from my blog tonight before I post it.
The talking heads, especially Vople, just say the dumbest things. Here is her latest.
"That said, McDonald has looked as confident these past two games as she has all season, and that's something she's going to bring with her into Friday's matchup. After all, she has faced some very good defenses already here in San Antonio with Texas A&M and Indiana, plus the regular-season matchups with Stanford."
Yes, she did a number on Indiana and Texas A&M.
Very good defense?
Indiana is 59th in team shooting percentage.
Texas A&M is 86th in team shooting percentage.
Indiana is 63rd in scoring defense.
Texas A&M is 114th in scoring defense.
And how did she do in two games against a really good Stanford defense?
Game 1 - 12 points. 3-18 from the field. 1-6 on threes.
Game 2 - 20 points, 8-24 from the field, 0-6 on threes.
That's 32 points, 11-42 (26.2%) from the field and 1-12 on threes. Yeah, Vople. Great analysis.
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Post by swash on Mar 31, 2021 14:41:21 GMT -5
I like those odds, but they are driven by the fact that AZ is considered a much easier opponent than either team in the other semifinal. The total % is for both games. Once the semifinal games are finished, the win probability will be more even for the last game. |
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Post by davidinnaples on Mar 31, 2021 14:47:05 GMT -5
I love it when Doggy gets all fired up..!! Tail not wagging, snout snarling, hair on his back standing straight up..!!  |
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Post by samanthabrown3 on Mar 31, 2021 14:58:43 GMT -5
Five Thirty Eight give us a 43% chance, with Stanford at 38%. After the way Stanford played yesterday, I was surprised. which way? Thought Stanford would be higher than it is. Either closer to us or higher. |
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Post by samanthabrown3 on Mar 31, 2021 14:59:50 GMT -5
The other thing is that Stanford has a harder game Friday, so its mathematical probability of winning a title are less. If UConn and Stanford both win Friday night, the odds might flip. Oh, don’t say that. 🙂 |
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Post by knightsbridgeaz on Mar 31, 2021 15:00:30 GMT -5
I love you guys so I'm sharing this new bit from my blog tonight before I post it. The talking heads, especially Vople, just say the dumbest things. Here is her latest. "That said, McDonald has looked as confident these past two games as she has all season, and that's something she's going to bring with her into Friday's matchup. After all, she has faced some very good defenses already here in San Antonio with Texas A&M and Indiana, plus the regular-season matchups with Stanford." Yes, she did a number on Indiana and Texas A&M. Very good defense? Indiana is 59th in team shooting percentage. Texas A&M is 86th in team shooting percentage. Indiana is 63rd in scoring defense. Texas A&M is 114th in scoring defense. And how did she do in two games against a really good Stanford defense? Game 1 - 12 points. 3-18 from the field. 1-6 on threes. Game 2 - 20 points, 8-24 from the field, 0-6 on threes. That's 32 points, 11-42 (26.2%) from the field and 1-12 on threes. Yeah, Vople. Great analysis. Aari is wretchedly inconsistent, although I personally prefer "streaky". I haven't seen enough to know if she can or can't do well against a really good defense, I really wouldn't base my opinion only on success against Stanford, mostly because they are a conference team with extreme familiarity with both Aari and Arizona. Stanford pretty much crushed Arizona this year, by 27 and 14, last year Arizona got a 1 point overtime win. I just don't see the game coming down to how Aari does - although that could affect how one-sided it is. Ultimately, a simple comparison of talent between the teams shows who should win. As Adia has said, Arizona is ahead of schedule even before making it to the final four. Things came together very quickly once they came together. Making the final four will (hopefully) boost future recruiting. |
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Post by doggydaddy on Mar 31, 2021 15:04:43 GMT -5
I love you guys so I'm sharing this new bit from my blog tonight before I post it. The talking heads, especially Vople, just say the dumbest things. Here is her latest. "That said, McDonald has looked as confident these past two games as she has all season, and that's something she's going to bring with her into Friday's matchup. After all, she has faced some very good defenses already here in San Antonio with Texas A&M and Indiana, plus the regular-season matchups with Stanford." Yes, she did a number on Indiana and Texas A&M. Very good defense? Indiana is 59th in team shooting percentage. Texas A&M is 86th in team shooting percentage. Indiana is 63rd in scoring defense. Texas A&M is 114th in scoring defense. And how did she do in two games against a really good Stanford defense? Game 1 - 12 points. 3-18 from the field. 1-6 on threes. Game 2 - 20 points, 8-24 from the field, 0-6 on threes. That's 32 points, 11-42 (26.2%) from the field and 1-12 on threes. Yeah, Vople. Great analysis. Aari is wretchedly inconsistent, although I personally prefer "streaky". I haven't seen enough to know if she can or can't do well against a really good defense, I really wouldn't base my opinion only on success against Stanford, mostly because they are a conference team with extreme familiarity with both Aari and Arizona. Stanford pretty much crushed Arizona this year, by 27 and 14, last year Arizona got a 1 point overtime win. I just don't see the game coming down to how Aari does - although that could affect how one-sided it is. Ultimately, a simple comparison of talent between the teams shows who should win. As Adia has said, Arizona is ahead of schedule even before making it to the final four. Things came together very quickly once they came together. Making the final four will (hopefully) boost future recruiting. Well, I didn't bring up Stanford, Vopel did. She used it as a barometer to how good McDonald plays against very good defense. |
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Post by UConnChapette on Mar 31, 2021 15:20:44 GMT -5
It is all just talk. They can talk all they want about blah, blah, blah. The games will tell the real story.
Though, it would be fun to be able to throw it in their faces (figuratively) if/when some of their comments don't play out as they speculate they might.
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Post by semper on Mar 31, 2021 15:26:14 GMT -5
Forgive me....
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Post by chicagogg on Mar 31, 2021 15:55:36 GMT -5
So apt, Semper!!!
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Post by magic on Mar 31, 2021 16:11:00 GMT -5
Tara VanDerveer is a long time personal favorite of Voepel's for YEARS. So, she will ride the Stanford bandwagon to the bitter end.
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Post by swash on Mar 31, 2021 16:29:48 GMT -5
Tara VanDerveer is a long time personal favorite of Voepel's for YEARS. So, she will ride the Stanford bandwagon to the bitter end. I confess to being a Tara fan as well. But, not vs. UCONN, of course! |
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Post by bulkey on Mar 31, 2021 16:46:46 GMT -5
Ironically, the Arkansas game might have served in good stead against Arizona. The team will realize what a really hot outside shooter, if left to get good looks, can do.
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